30 Kasım 2012 Cuma

Chamber & Shrewsbury Street

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I hope nobody underestimates these two groups coming together to agree on a tax rate!!!   The amount of time we will save versus having to go through the same annual ritual....

Instead now we will have time to address the real issue--the eroding tax base.   Lets hope this is the first of many thing that these two groups, who only have the best interest of Worcester in mind, will work on together that will increase the tax base and reduce the tax bills for both commercial and residential property owners. 

Great job Stuart and Gary!!!  

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

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 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

'Feeling' a change in the weather

To contact us Click HERE
Over the weekend I received an email from Amy in Lena, IL wondering how the change in pressure can affect someone who has arthritis.  I'm sure we've all know and have heard someone say they can tell when the weather is going to change because the can feel it in their bones.  While there is no true correlation between the weather and the pain someone who has arthritis feels there are many theories as to how this can actually occur.  One theory, which seems to be the most common, is the fact that already inflamed tissue in the body surrounding the joints can swell even more and cause an increase in arthritis pain when the pressure drops.  It's almost as if the joints in our body are acting as a human barometer.  Just like the atmosphere is in a constant state of trying to balance itself out, the human body is trying to balance the equilibrium in body pressure.
To try and under this a little more and how air pressure tends to affect the pain some people may feel, we first need to look at the definition of air pressure.  Air pressure is the force exerted on any surface by the molecules composing air.  Basically it's the force, or weight, on a particular surface in the atmosphere.  Air molecules are important in this definition because the more air molecules you have above the surface of the earth the more pressure, or force, is exerted down causing the pressure to rise.  Example, think of when you inflate a bike tire or basketball.  The air pump causes the pressure inside the pump and object to rise - causing it to inflate.  Just the opposite can be said when there are fewer air molecules above the surface of the earth.  There is less force exerted towards the surface causing the pressure to decrease.
There have been several studies conducted to try and better understand the relationship, if any, between changing weather and the aches and pains someone may feel.  In many of the studies that were conducted it seemed as if an increase in pain was felt on cold and rainy days or afternoons where the humidity was higher.  These type of weather events typically happen when low pressure is occurring.  Air rises throughout the atmosphere when there is low pressure causing the surrounding air at the surface (which has a higher pressure than the low) to move in to try and replace the air that is lost.  It's that change in pressure that may make people with arthritis a little more sensitive to the surroundings of the atmosphere and cause them to 'feel' the changing weather in their bones. 

Where's the Snow?!

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If you're a fan of the winter weather, or are just hoping for a White Christmas, this blog post probably isn't for you. Rockford is in the midst of one of its longest snow droughts on record.

Data as of 11/27/12
In this case, "snow drought" means no measurable snow. The last time we saw that in Rockford was on March 4th... 268 days ago as of Tuesday.

The current forecast will put us comfortably in fourth place by week's end. We're expecting a warmup close to 60 degrees by the start of next week, and there are zero chances for snow over the next week. We would break the record is we saw no snow through December 17th. Will that happen? We'll have to wait and see.

Chicago is in the middle of their own snow drought... 268 days without measurable snow is their fourth longest drought on record.

Big Warmup Sunday and Monday

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It will be mostly cloudy tonight with areas of patchy fog developing toward dawn. The low will be around 34 degrees with a light southeast wind. On Friday there will be some early morning patchy fog. Then, it will be partly cloudy with a high around 47 degrees. On Friday night fog will re-develop in the evening and become dense before midnight continuing through the overnight. The low will be around 33 degrees with light easterly winds. High pressure easing across southern Canada just to the north of the Great Lakes will nudge a cold front southward through the area later tonight, and the front will become stationary east/west near Interstate 80 to our south through Friday.  That is the reason for the temporary trend toward cooler daytime temperatures on Friday.  However, on Saturday morning, the front will lift northward across the area and off top the northeast.  With increasing amounts of moisture in the lowest levels of the atmosphere, there will be fog development again on Friday night that will become dense by midnight.  That thick fog will likely persist into at least the mid morning hours on Saturday. Gulf moisture will be feeding across the Stateline on Saturday. It will be breezy and warmer with some drizzle and light rain showers. The high on Saturday is expected to be around 54 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.  It will be mostly sunny, breezy and  very mild on Sunday with a high near 60 degrees. It will be windy and unseasonably mild on Monday with a southwesterly wind at 20 to 30 mph.  The high temperature will be near 62 degrees.  There will be some rain showers of Monday, and there could even be an isolated thunderstorm on Monday night with the approach of a strong cold front from the west.  It will be mostly sunny, breezy, and cooler on Tuesday with a high temperature in the middle 40's.  Wednesday is expected to be the coldest day of the week.  High pressure from Canada will cause a chilly northwesterly breeze to blow south across Wisconsin.  The high will be in the middle to upper 30's on Wednesday.  Temperatures are expected to recover back up into the middle 40's  on Thursday.


29 Kasım 2012 Perşembe

Chander Business Association President

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Dear Worcester City Council Members:

It is not the Chandler Street Business Association's fault that the CDC's in the city are being investigated by HUD or that HUD money is being withheld to them as stated by Mr. Teasdale last night-not following rules that HUD has in place are the reason-these are the same rules that the Chandler Street Business Association has had to follow with it's NRSA funds.

It is also highly insulting for Mr. Teasdale to refer to residents and business owners who have invested thousands of hours of their own personal time and millions of dollars of their own hard earned dollars into the neighborhoods to be referred to as a few business men who have a grudge against the CDC's. This comment last night is indicative of how some of the CDC Directors have treated people who do not agree with them or have other opinions on how our neighborhoods should be redeveloped.

The Chandler Street Business Association has bent over backwards the past ten years attempting to work with Worcester Common Ground over issues related to 48 Mason Street,properties on Piedmont Street and properties on Dewey Street that have greatly effected the quality of life and business in our neighborhoods-some of you have attended our community meetings with WCG hoping for us to find common ground and resolve.

There is page after page of Worcester Inspectional Services reports on code violations associated with the above properties Worcester Common Ground owns or has owned-these housing violations as stated greatly effecting our neighborhoods quality of life and business pocketbooks. This is not a "he said she said" issue-the failure to follow community rules that are expected of others is very real and it needs to be addressed as part of this proposed new housing policy.

Our efforts working with SMOC this past year on the relocation of the Triage and Assessment Center is indicative of our strong commitment to our neighborhood and our willingness to constructively work together with others on tough urban issues-SMOC treated us like stakeholders not peasants and the project got completed responsibly for the benefit of the city, SMOC constituents and the neighborhood.

Many in the Chandler Street Business Association were also here 20-30 years ago and were also investing in the same neighborhoods with their own hard earned capital-it is incorrect to suggest by some last night that the CDC's redeveloped these neighborhoods single handedly-I personally was buying and rehabbing in the Main South/Piedmont section of the city since the late 1980's and I live in the Piedmont neighborhood not elsewhere as most CDC Directors do-see house below.

There were numerous statements made last night by Mr.Teasdale about monies his CDC has invested in the neighborhood-he should be reminded that those monies are tax payer dollars not his or the CDC's and it is our right as tax payers to be able to question how those dollars are spent especially tax payer dollars spent in our neighborhoods that many in the Chandler Street Business Association live in, work in and play in.

The Chandler Street Business Association has never advocated for the elimination of the CDC's but it has advocated for a trimming of the amount in District 4, from three CDC's to one CDC.

The City of Worcester is not unlike many Massachusetts cities such as: Charlestown, South Boston, Roxbury, Dorchester, Mattapan, Chelsea, Everett, Somerville & Haverhill that at one time had many tough neighborhoods that are now on the rebound - conversations presented last night that revisited decade's past lack of private development that the above cities also experienced is not beneficial to today's discussion of middle class urban renewal in Worcester-if this was the case then Shrewsbury Street and the Canal District would not be on the path they are on today because they to were tough urban neighborhoods not to long ago.

In conclusion, the City of Worcester and most particular District 4 have evolved from when I bought the house below on Chandler Street and rehabbed it in 1992 but the CDC's have not operating on the same argument that the urban neighborhoods of Worcester in 1992 are the same Worcester urban neighborhoods of 2012 and many more than just 5 or 6 business people disagree.

Please reserve a spot at the committee hearings for members of the Chandler Street Business Association that includes business owners and residents. Thank you for your time.



Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

To contact us Click HERE

 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

'Feeling' a change in the weather

To contact us Click HERE
Over the weekend I received an email from Amy in Lena, IL wondering how the change in pressure can affect someone who has arthritis.  I'm sure we've all know and have heard someone say they can tell when the weather is going to change because the can feel it in their bones.  While there is no true correlation between the weather and the pain someone who has arthritis feels there are many theories as to how this can actually occur.  One theory, which seems to be the most common, is the fact that already inflamed tissue in the body surrounding the joints can swell even more and cause an increase in arthritis pain when the pressure drops.  It's almost as if the joints in our body are acting as a human barometer.  Just like the atmosphere is in a constant state of trying to balance itself out, the human body is trying to balance the equilibrium in body pressure.
To try and under this a little more and how air pressure tends to affect the pain some people may feel, we first need to look at the definition of air pressure.  Air pressure is the force exerted on any surface by the molecules composing air.  Basically it's the force, or weight, on a particular surface in the atmosphere.  Air molecules are important in this definition because the more air molecules you have above the surface of the earth the more pressure, or force, is exerted down causing the pressure to rise.  Example, think of when you inflate a bike tire or basketball.  The air pump causes the pressure inside the pump and object to rise - causing it to inflate.  Just the opposite can be said when there are fewer air molecules above the surface of the earth.  There is less force exerted towards the surface causing the pressure to decrease.
There have been several studies conducted to try and better understand the relationship, if any, between changing weather and the aches and pains someone may feel.  In many of the studies that were conducted it seemed as if an increase in pain was felt on cold and rainy days or afternoons where the humidity was higher.  These type of weather events typically happen when low pressure is occurring.  Air rises throughout the atmosphere when there is low pressure causing the surrounding air at the surface (which has a higher pressure than the low) to move in to try and replace the air that is lost.  It's that change in pressure that may make people with arthritis a little more sensitive to the surroundings of the atmosphere and cause them to 'feel' the changing weather in their bones. 

Where's the Snow?!

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If you're a fan of the winter weather, or are just hoping for a White Christmas, this blog post probably isn't for you. Rockford is in the midst of one of its longest snow droughts on record.

Data as of 11/27/12
In this case, "snow drought" means no measurable snow. The last time we saw that in Rockford was on March 4th... 268 days ago as of Tuesday.

The current forecast will put us comfortably in fourth place by week's end. We're expecting a warmup close to 60 degrees by the start of next week, and there are zero chances for snow over the next week. We would break the record is we saw no snow through December 17th. Will that happen? We'll have to wait and see.

Chicago is in the middle of their own snow drought... 268 days without measurable snow is their fourth longest drought on record.

Wet and stormy in the west; Mild start to December here

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A series of strong storm systems will begin to pound the northwest through the weekend bringing potentially 6" to 12" of rainfall along the coast, heavy snowfall in higher elevations, wind and cold lasting through Sunday.  As a trough, or dip, in the jet stream continues to strengthen a ridge of high pressure will build over the middle of the country.  This will allow unseasonably warm air to lift north into Midwest this weekend.  With the warmth, however, will come the threat for added cloud cover and fog.  Moisture will lift north from the Gulf of Mexico along the western edge of another ridge of high pressure in the southeast.  As this moisture lifts into Illinois and Wisconsin it's possible it may interact with a few frontal boundaries that will lay draped across the Stateline.  Looking at some of our ensemble forecasts through the weekend they do point to a very mild air mass in place by the beginning of next week.  If clouds or fog are not as thick as I anticipate them to be it's likely temperatures Sunday and Monday will top 60° making for a very warm start to December.

The next question: Will we break any record high temperatures this weekend?  The answer to that is...unlikely.  Record highs for Saturday through Monday are in the middle 60's.  Without a substantial amount of sunshine reaching those numbers will be hard to do but if more sunshine peeks through Sunday and Monday it's possible we could get close.  

28 Kasım 2012 Çarşamba

Council Meeting on Housing

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Did not have a chance to attend, but watched on television.  It was a great discussion and now it will go to the Economic Committee.   Great to see this conversation finally being had.   

One of the most interesting things was that everyone agreed with the recommendations from the report.  Seriously not one recommendation was questioned.   There is absolutely no reason that CDC's, private developers and anyone else cannot work together to meet the recommendations (THAT AGAIN EVERYONE AGREED TO) in the report.  

This is not about the past, but the future.    Look forward to moving forward to see the recommendations in the report become a reality!  

Clairification

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The Executive Director of the Main South CDC challenged anyone to visit their properties and see the quality of their work.    For the record, the Main South CDC does quality work and I have never questioned the workmanship .   I have, however, always questioned the monies that are spent per unit, avergaing 300k per unit.     Also, as George Russell pointed out last night, deed restricted home


'Feeling' a change in the weather

To contact us Click HERE
Over the weekend I received an email from Amy in Lena, IL wondering how the change in pressure can affect someone who has arthritis.  I'm sure we've all know and have heard someone say they can tell when the weather is going to change because the can feel it in their bones.  While there is no true correlation between the weather and the pain someone who has arthritis feels there are many theories as to how this can actually occur.  One theory, which seems to be the most common, is the fact that already inflamed tissue in the body surrounding the joints can swell even more and cause an increase in arthritis pain when the pressure drops.  It's almost as if the joints in our body are acting as a human barometer.  Just like the atmosphere is in a constant state of trying to balance itself out, the human body is trying to balance the equilibrium in body pressure.
To try and under this a little more and how air pressure tends to affect the pain some people may feel, we first need to look at the definition of air pressure.  Air pressure is the force exerted on any surface by the molecules composing air.  Basically it's the force, or weight, on a particular surface in the atmosphere.  Air molecules are important in this definition because the more air molecules you have above the surface of the earth the more pressure, or force, is exerted down causing the pressure to rise.  Example, think of when you inflate a bike tire or basketball.  The air pump causes the pressure inside the pump and object to rise - causing it to inflate.  Just the opposite can be said when there are fewer air molecules above the surface of the earth.  There is less force exerted towards the surface causing the pressure to decrease.
There have been several studies conducted to try and better understand the relationship, if any, between changing weather and the aches and pains someone may feel.  In many of the studies that were conducted it seemed as if an increase in pain was felt on cold and rainy days or afternoons where the humidity was higher.  These type of weather events typically happen when low pressure is occurring.  Air rises throughout the atmosphere when there is low pressure causing the surrounding air at the surface (which has a higher pressure than the low) to move in to try and replace the air that is lost.  It's that change in pressure that may make people with arthritis a little more sensitive to the surroundings of the atmosphere and cause them to 'feel' the changing weather in their bones. 

A true arctic air mass

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It was a COLD morning Tuesday!  A very dry air mass from northern Canada associated with high pressure settled into the middle of the country causing the mercury to drop into the low teens for most, but down into the single digits for others.  While temperatures this morning were very impressive I found it also impressive as to how low the dew points fell...between 5° and 10°.  This would be the true definition of an arctic air mass.  When you have the cold but also a very dry atmosphere.  Even as of 11 am the atmosphere remains fairly dry which combined with the sunshine today should allow temperatures by this afternoon to rise back into the low to mid 30s.

The last time it was cold was back on February 25th and 26th when the low dropped to 12° and 13°.  The last time it was colder than 11° was on the 11th of February when the low dropped to 8°.  Here's something to ponder on your lunch break...overnight lows this weekend will be warmer than what the high temperature is expected to reach today! 

Where's the Snow?!

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If you're a fan of the winter weather, or are just hoping for a White Christmas, this blog post probably isn't for you. Rockford is in the midst of one of its longest snow droughts on record.

Data as of 11/27/12
In this case, "snow drought" means no measurable snow. The last time we saw that in Rockford was on March 4th... 268 days ago as of Tuesday.

The current forecast will put us comfortably in fourth place by week's end. We're expecting a warmup close to 60 degrees by the start of next week, and there are zero chances for snow over the next week. We would break the record is we saw no snow through December 17th. Will that happen? We'll have to wait and see.

Chicago is in the middle of their own snow drought... 268 days without measurable snow is their fourth longest drought on record.

27 Kasım 2012 Salı

RKH Housing Report

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Let's hope people stick to the facts and say exactly what recommendation that they do not like in the RKG report and why?

This is not a battle over whether we should stop building "affordable" housing or not.    Nobody can do this..    The is a question as to what the City should do with their monies should they:

  1. Continue what they have been doing and keep subsidiziing more "affordable" housing projects.
  2. City of Worcester stop subsidizing "affordable" developers and put them on a level playing field with any other property owner/developer.  If we did this then we could make changes; for example, give monies directly to qualified home-owners in targeted districts to do their own repairs.
It is really that simple...  

Wind and Rain on Veteran's Day

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An intense low pressure storm system is spinning over Minnesota tonight.  A cold front drops southwest from the low across northwestern Iowa, eastern Nebraska across western Kansas.  There is a tight pressure gradient associated with the low so that southerly winds will blow tonight, and for a good part of the day on Sunday from 20 to 30 mph with gusts on Veteran's Day expected to reach around 40 mph.  With this strong southerly flow over night, temperatures will not drop much.  The lows will be in the middle to upper 50's across the Stateline.  The average low this time of year is 33 degrees.  There could be a couple of light rain showers overnight, but nothing much is expected.  The front will be moving eastward across Iowa on Sunday, and as it gets closer to the Stateline showers will develop.  Showers will be likely by noon time, and you can expect occasional rain during the afternoon.  There might even be some late season thunderstorms.  The temperature will top out in the low to middle 60's.  The average high this time of year is 51 degrees.  The cold front will probably move across the area by the supper hour.  The wind will switch to the west at 10-15 mph, and rain showers will continue through the evening. Much colder air will feed into our region by midnight, and there could be some rain mixed with wet snow before it ends well after midnight.  A steep drop in temperature will continue taking the overnight low to around 28 degrees.  It will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold on Monday with a chance of afternoon snow flurries.  The afternoon high will only be around 33 degrees.  That will be quite a shock after being in the 60's over the weekend.

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

To contact us Click HERE

 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

Snow misses us to the south but snow to the north keeps us chilly this afternoon

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As the jet stream dips south this afternoon the majority of the accumulating snowfall will stay south of the Stateline.  Decreasing cloud cover tonight will set the stage for a very cold night with lows dropping into the teens by dawn Tuesday.

Many locations in northern Minnesota, Wisconsin and the Upper Pennisula of Michigan have almost half a foot of snow on the ground already with a decent amount of Canada already experiencing close to a foot of snow.  Often times this will have an impact on temperatures here in the Stateline.  If winds within in the jet stream are mainly from the north the snow pack will modify that air mass helping to cool it before it reaches southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois.  If the jet stream winds are mainly from an area that is lacking any sufficient snow the incoming air mass won't be as cold.  As we get deeper into the winter season and the upstream snow pack continues to grow and deepen the colder snaps tend to be a little more harsh than the low to mid 30s we'll be experiencing this afternoon.  

Warmup On The Way

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If you don't like the cold weather, this week hasn't got off to the best start. Highs for Monday were stuck in the low to mid 30s and overnight low are expected to plummet into the teens. But a warmup is on the way, making for a milder start to December.

Highs in the 30s will stick around for a few more days, but by Thursday, temps will be above normal for a nice, long stretch. In fact, December looks to kick off with highs in the 50s.

Temperature Outlook: Dec. 2-6
The Climate Prediction Center has our warmup continuing through the end of next week before a more normal pattern sets back in. Great news for everyone... except you winter weather lovers. Milder temps mean no meaningful snow chances for at least the next two weeks.

26 Kasım 2012 Pazartesi

Wind and Rain on Veteran's Day

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An intense low pressure storm system is spinning over Minnesota tonight.  A cold front drops southwest from the low across northwestern Iowa, eastern Nebraska across western Kansas.  There is a tight pressure gradient associated with the low so that southerly winds will blow tonight, and for a good part of the day on Sunday from 20 to 30 mph with gusts on Veteran's Day expected to reach around 40 mph.  With this strong southerly flow over night, temperatures will not drop much.  The lows will be in the middle to upper 50's across the Stateline.  The average low this time of year is 33 degrees.  There could be a couple of light rain showers overnight, but nothing much is expected.  The front will be moving eastward across Iowa on Sunday, and as it gets closer to the Stateline showers will develop.  Showers will be likely by noon time, and you can expect occasional rain during the afternoon.  There might even be some late season thunderstorms.  The temperature will top out in the low to middle 60's.  The average high this time of year is 51 degrees.  The cold front will probably move across the area by the supper hour.  The wind will switch to the west at 10-15 mph, and rain showers will continue through the evening. Much colder air will feed into our region by midnight, and there could be some rain mixed with wet snow before it ends well after midnight.  A steep drop in temperature will continue taking the overnight low to around 28 degrees.  It will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold on Monday with a chance of afternoon snow flurries.  The afternoon high will only be around 33 degrees.  That will be quite a shock after being in the 60's over the weekend.

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

To contact us Click HERE

 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

A Cold Start to the Week

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A cold front passed through the Stateline earlier today. There was not a drop in temperatures immediately following the front, so the afternoon high was able to reach a seasonal high of 42 degrees. Colder air is moving in behind the front tonight in advance of a cold Canadian high moving into North Dakota. It will be partly cloudy ovenight with a low in the low 20's. The wind will be fairly light from the northwest at 5 to 10 mph. On Monday cold air will continue to feed into the area from the northwest all day at 10 to 15 mph. Skies will be partly cloudy  with an afternoon high only around 29 degrees. The average high this time of year is 42 degrees.  The center of the high will reach Sioux City, Iowa by 6 pm Sunday clearing skies for Sunday night, which is expected to be the coldest night so far this season with a low around 14 degrees.  The high pressure ridge will settle slowly southward across the area on Tuesday. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny, and it will continue cold with the high temperature only around 33 degrees. With much of the cold air depleted across southern Canada and the northern plains, the next high moving in from the northwest will not drop temperatures. On the contrary, the high on Wednesday will edge up a few degrees to around 37 degrees under mostly sunny skies. The moderating temperature trend will continue on Thursday, which will start off mostly sunny, but some clouds will develop by afternoon. The high on Thursday will be in the low 40's. A front will slide across the area from the north on Thursday afternoon, and become stationary east west across central Illinois. There will be a slight chance of some light rain mixed with some wet snow flakes on Thursday night, and a chance of showers on Friday.  With the clouds and the threat of rain on Friday temperatures will top out in the low 40's once again.  There is also the possibility of dense fog some time between Thursday night through Saturday morning with the Gulf of Mexico opening up.  The warmer and moist air riding up over the cold ground from the recent cold spell will provide an environment where thick fog could develop. It will be milder on Friday night with a low in the middle 30's under mostly cloudy skies.  It will be warmer on Saturday under mostly cloudy skies.  November wraps up at midnight on Friday night  On December 1st the high will be be near 50 degree with a chance of showers. Sunday looks like it will be even a little warmer with a high in the low 50's under partly cloudy skies.


40B

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Here are some points we discussed:

  1. RKG study is dam good.   If you do not think that it is, then point out one conclusion that you do not like and explain what is wrong with it.
  2. Affordable units are not below market rents.
Let's now talk about 40B.    The Commonwealth of Massachusetts targets each city/town to have 10% "affordable" units.  If a town or city does not have the 10% threshold, a developer can come in,  propose to build "affordable" units and basically escape the local ordinances regarding developing.  

Let me give you an example, say you have a town with only 5% "affordable" number.  A developer comes into that town and proposes "affordable" units,  that does not meet what is required by the local zoning authority (lot size, frontage,  etc).   If the local zoning tries to deny the permit, the developer, as a 40B project, can go to the Commonwealth and get approval.     Typically this does not happen, since the developer usually sits down with the town and makes a deal and then everyone calls it a "friendly" 40B.    Truth be told there is nothing "friendly" about it . 

This is an oversimplification, but it it gets the point across.   In Worcester, a developer can not claim 40B status and supercede the local zoning boards, since we already the 10%. That it a moot, since developers of "affrodable" housing, not Dodge Park, get pretty much everything they ask for locally and do not have to appeal to the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.    

Here is my point the City of Worcester can not cap "affordable" housing.   Developers can keep building all the "affordable" units that they in Worcester even though we already exceeded the 10% threshold.  The Commonwealth of Massachusetts does not have a cap for each town and city.  We can have 100% "affordable", if you want.'  

The only thing the city can do is control the purse strings!     In other words, follow the money.  This is not an arguement about the level of "affordable" units we should or should not have, but whether the City of Worcester should continue to subsidize their construction.  

I feel these monies could be used better elsewhere.  Namely let's target qualified home-owners in targeted districts with grant monies to improve their houses?    Two years ago the Chandler NRSA had approximately 15 people (at an average of about 15K per house) who took advantage of the program and invested in the owner-occupied houses.    I say we do more of that, versus spending 300,000 to construct one rental unit. 



25 Kasım 2012 Pazar

Affordable Housing 101

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Lets take an example of a 3 unit building that will cost an agency 500,000 to redevelop:
  1. buy the property
  2. then sit on it up two years or more
  3. apply everywhere for grant monies to build afforable housing
  4. assemble on average 90% of the monies you need in grants (450,000)
  5. 50,000 of your own money into the project

3 years later the project is done and the agency only has 50,000 invested and need to rent the three units out to tenants that meet the "affordable" guidelines so as to not have to pay back the 450,000.

Here is my question imagine if we were able to take the same 450,000 and:

  1. give it out to current home-owners (there are tons) who meet income guidelines to repair their houses like we did with the NRSA. There is a huge need.   
  2. give these monies in matching monies to qualified people to buy one of the many vacant houses in the city.

The question here is what is the highest and best use of the monies, in this example 450,000.

Wind and Rain on Veteran's Day

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An intense low pressure storm system is spinning over Minnesota tonight.  A cold front drops southwest from the low across northwestern Iowa, eastern Nebraska across western Kansas.  There is a tight pressure gradient associated with the low so that southerly winds will blow tonight, and for a good part of the day on Sunday from 20 to 30 mph with gusts on Veteran's Day expected to reach around 40 mph.  With this strong southerly flow over night, temperatures will not drop much.  The lows will be in the middle to upper 50's across the Stateline.  The average low this time of year is 33 degrees.  There could be a couple of light rain showers overnight, but nothing much is expected.  The front will be moving eastward across Iowa on Sunday, and as it gets closer to the Stateline showers will develop.  Showers will be likely by noon time, and you can expect occasional rain during the afternoon.  There might even be some late season thunderstorms.  The temperature will top out in the low to middle 60's.  The average high this time of year is 51 degrees.  The cold front will probably move across the area by the supper hour.  The wind will switch to the west at 10-15 mph, and rain showers will continue through the evening. Much colder air will feed into our region by midnight, and there could be some rain mixed with wet snow before it ends well after midnight.  A steep drop in temperature will continue taking the overnight low to around 28 degrees.  It will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold on Monday with a chance of afternoon snow flurries.  The afternoon high will only be around 33 degrees.  That will be quite a shock after being in the 60's over the weekend.

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

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 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

Not As Cold on Sunday

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Saturday has been a cold day across the Stateline with afternoon high temperatures reaching only 34 degrees at the Rockford airport. The cold high pressure is shifting off to the east this evening. Warmer air from the Pacific is sliding across the northern plains into the mid west. Moisture is limited, but widespread cloud cover overnight will keep the temperatures from dropping much. In fact, the overnight low, in the middle 20's, will probably occur this evening along with the chance of a few flurries. Then, temperatures will hold steady, or may even rise a couple of degrees overnight. The next front will sweep across the area around daybreak on Sunday switching the wind to the west and then to the northwest. Despite the frontal passage, the temperature will warm into the low 40's under partly cloudy skies. Temperatures will drop into the middle 20's on Sunday night. Modified Canadian high pressure will make for colder conditions on Monday with a high around 34 degrees. Cold high pressure over western Iowa will make for a very chilly night on Monday night with the temperature dropping as low as the middle teens.  The high will pass across the area on Tuesday.  Skies will  be partly cloudy, and the high will be in the chilly middle 30's again.  High pressure will continue the dry spell for northern Illinois on Wednesday.  Skies will be mostly sunny, and the high will be in the upper 30's.  A little moderation will take place on Thursday with a stationary front temporarily setting up from northern Illinois westward across northern Iowa.  There will be enough moisture convergence that there may be a little light rain, or rain and snow mixed across the Stateline on Thursday night.  It will be mostly cloudy with a high in the low 40's on Thursday and Friday.  On Saturday a southerly wind will develop warming temperatures close to 50 degrees in the afternoon.  A weak disturbance could cause some light rain showers in the afternoon.


24 Kasım 2012 Cumartesi

Wind and Rain on Veteran's Day

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An intense low pressure storm system is spinning over Minnesota tonight.  A cold front drops southwest from the low across northwestern Iowa, eastern Nebraska across western Kansas.  There is a tight pressure gradient associated with the low so that southerly winds will blow tonight, and for a good part of the day on Sunday from 20 to 30 mph with gusts on Veteran's Day expected to reach around 40 mph.  With this strong southerly flow over night, temperatures will not drop much.  The lows will be in the middle to upper 50's across the Stateline.  The average low this time of year is 33 degrees.  There could be a couple of light rain showers overnight, but nothing much is expected.  The front will be moving eastward across Iowa on Sunday, and as it gets closer to the Stateline showers will develop.  Showers will be likely by noon time, and you can expect occasional rain during the afternoon.  There might even be some late season thunderstorms.  The temperature will top out in the low to middle 60's.  The average high this time of year is 51 degrees.  The cold front will probably move across the area by the supper hour.  The wind will switch to the west at 10-15 mph, and rain showers will continue through the evening. Much colder air will feed into our region by midnight, and there could be some rain mixed with wet snow before it ends well after midnight.  A steep drop in temperature will continue taking the overnight low to around 28 degrees.  It will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold on Monday with a chance of afternoon snow flurries.  The afternoon high will only be around 33 degrees.  That will be quite a shock after being in the 60's over the weekend.

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

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 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

What a Difference a Day Makes!

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A massive ridge of high pressure stretches all the way from central Canada southward across the Dakota's to Texas.  A strong low pressure storm center is located just to the south of James Bay. The pressure gradient between the high and low is what we call "tight" in the weather business. That means that there is a significant change in pressure over a relatively short distance across the earth's surface. It is shown on a weather map with the isobars (lines of equal pressure being drawn fairly close to each other. When a weather map looks like this, it is always an indication of plenty of wind, and we have had lots of wind for the last 24 hours pumping very cold Canadian air into the mid west. Northwesterly winds have been running 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts since last night following frontal passage. As the low pulls away tonight, and the high gets closer, the gradient will relax, and the wind will subside. The high temperature today occurred at midnight, and temperatures fell into the upper 20's this afternoon as the arctic air poured into the mid west. It certainly felt like the middle of winter this afternoon with wind chills in the middle teens. There were some snow flurries in the area today, too. Skies will clear tonight, and the temperature will drop off into the upper teens. The wind will subside to down to 10 to 15 mph from the northwest. On Saturday sunny skies will give way to partly cloudy conditions during the afternoon. It will be cold with a high in the low to middle 30's.  The average high this time of year is 43 degrees.  Another weather system moving across the northern plains along the Canadian border will pull some slightly warmer air into the Stateline on Sunday under partly sunny skies pushing the temperature up into the low 40's.  A cold front following the system will drop temperatures back into the 30's again on Monday.  A storm system is expected to develop over the southern plains.  It's anticipated track appears to be too far south to produce any measureable snow across northern Illinois... but it still needs to be watched on Monday night into early Tuesday.


23 Kasım 2012 Cuma

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

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 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

Happy Thanksgiving!

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The First Warn Weather team would like to wish everyone a Happy Thanksgiving!

Clouds will increase this Thanksgiving afternoon ahead of a very strong and dynamic storm system moving across the northern Rockies.  A strong cold front will move through the Great Lakes between 6pm and 7pm with temperatures expected to tumble shortly behind.  With a brisk southerly wind afternoon highs will rise near 60°, or slightly warmer.  Look for a few showers (and maybe a thunderstorm) to develop after 3pm and continue through 9pm until the front passes.  Once the front moves through winds will quickly shift around to the northwest tonight pulling down a very cold air mass from northern Canada.  Temperatures will go from the 60s today down to the low 30s by Friday morning.  This means all you Black Friday shoppers will definitely want to bundle up if you're going out late tonight or very early Friday morning.

Temperatures around 6pm Thursday evening will be in the middle 50s with a southwest breeze.  By 9pm the winds will have shifted and overnight lows will drop into the low 30s by daybreak Friday.  Wind chills will be a big factor Friday with a majority of the day experiencing wind chills in the teens.  After Friday there is no real major warm up as cold air looks to remain in place through the middle of next week.

Temps Dive Into Black Friday!

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Thanksgiving Day 2012 is now in the record books.  It turned out to be one of the mildest on record, but failed to set any records.  The afternoon high temperature in Rockford was 64 degrees.  That is a full 20 degrees above the normal high for the date.  The record high is 69 degrees set in 2010.  I hope you enjoyed the mild temperatures, because a cold front blasted across the area this evening, and temperatures are nosediving.  Arctic high pressure over Canada will continue to buffet the area for the rest of the night, and on Black Friday.  West to northwest winds will blow at 20 to 30 mph on Friday with higher gusts.  There appears to be just enough moisture in the low to mid levels to allow a broken deck of strato-cumulous to spit out a few flurries.  It will definitely feel  like winter with the wind chills down in the upper teens to low 20's, and a few flakes of snow swirling through the air.  High pressure will clear the skies on Friday night, and the temperature will drop to near 20 degrees.  Saturday will be mostly sunny, but it will still be cold with an afternoon high only around 35 degrees.  The temperature will make an attempt to recover on Sunday, but will only reach back toward seasonal levels around 43 degrees.  Monday will be partly sunny and a little cooler with a high in the upper 30's.  On Monday night a low pressure storm system will try to put itself together over the southern plains.  The numerical meteorological models disagree on the solution for the  storm track of this next low.  One takes it northeast up the Ohio River Valley.  If it were to verify, and move just a little to the left of that track, the Stateline could be in for some accumulation snow.  If it travels more easterly from Oklahoma, our region would not get much....  perhaps just some flurries, or no snow at all.  It will remain cold for the remainder of the week following the passage of the low toward the east coast.

Strong winds Friday keep temperatures cold throughout the day

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A Wind Advisory has been issued for Stephenson, Jo Daviess, Carroll and Whiteside counties through noon Friday. 

It's hard to believe when you step outside today that temperatures Thanksgiving were in the low 60s.  Now, we've dropped into the upper 20s/low 30s.  Northwest winds sustained around 30-35 mph, with gusts nearing 40 mph, will continue through the morning until high pressure slides into central Illinois.  Temperatures have been dropping since early this morning and will continue to do so without much recovery in the afternoon. 

Wind chills throughout the morning have dropped into the teens and just like the temperature, those chills will remain in the teens into the afternoon.  With a breeze remaining night overnight lows will drop near 20 degrees but wind chills will fall into the single digits in some of the outlying, cooler areas.  Despite sunshine to start the day Saturday it will remain cold with highs in the middle 30s.

Still many questions regarding potential snow next week

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The possibility of snow early next week is still there but there remains a lot of uncertainty going into the weekend.  The problem with this next storm system are that the models have been very consistent with their track of the low, but each model has had a different track and there seems to be no convergence, just yet, on one solution.  The reason, this storm system is still off the British Columbia coast and isn't expected to move onshore until this weekend.  It likely won't be until Sunday or Sunday night that models begin to come together on a certain track and we'll be able to better pinpoint where exactly snow will fall and where it will remain just plain cold.The European model, which has been fairly consistent the past several months, has continued with the more southern track taking the low through Missouri and into the northeast.  This would mean a complete miss all together for either rain or snow for us.
The American GFS model, however, continues to bring the low from the panhandle of Oklahoma northeast into Ohio meaning the rain/snow mix line edges closer to the Midwest Monday night into Tuesday.  As I mentioned earlier, until this system moves onshore and we're able to get a better sampling of it with our weather instruments the uncertain track will remain for the next 36 hours.  Friday morning's forecast continued with a chance of rain/snow Monday night and light snow Tuesday of next week. 

22 Kasım 2012 Perşembe

CDC rents

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There is common misconception that CDC's rent apartments well below market rents.  I am not saying they should not get whatever rent the market bears.

Here are the facts check for yourself

Link1

Affordable housing is not synonmous with below market rents.   It only means the renter meets certain income guidelines so that the developer does not have to pay back the grant monies that were given to build or rehab the project.

Measuring Snow: A 'How to' Guide

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Measuring snow can sometimes be a little challenging especially if it's coming down at a fast pace, melting on contact or blowing in the wind.  The Quad Cities National Weather Service posted some very useful information on how to correctly measure snow.

Click here to see how it's properly done.  After all, we had a our first 'flakes' of the season fly this morning with many more to fall in the months to come. 

Wind and Rain on Veteran's Day

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An intense low pressure storm system is spinning over Minnesota tonight.  A cold front drops southwest from the low across northwestern Iowa, eastern Nebraska across western Kansas.  There is a tight pressure gradient associated with the low so that southerly winds will blow tonight, and for a good part of the day on Sunday from 20 to 30 mph with gusts on Veteran's Day expected to reach around 40 mph.  With this strong southerly flow over night, temperatures will not drop much.  The lows will be in the middle to upper 50's across the Stateline.  The average low this time of year is 33 degrees.  There could be a couple of light rain showers overnight, but nothing much is expected.  The front will be moving eastward across Iowa on Sunday, and as it gets closer to the Stateline showers will develop.  Showers will be likely by noon time, and you can expect occasional rain during the afternoon.  There might even be some late season thunderstorms.  The temperature will top out in the low to middle 60's.  The average high this time of year is 51 degrees.  The cold front will probably move across the area by the supper hour.  The wind will switch to the west at 10-15 mph, and rain showers will continue through the evening. Much colder air will feed into our region by midnight, and there could be some rain mixed with wet snow before it ends well after midnight.  A steep drop in temperature will continue taking the overnight low to around 28 degrees.  It will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold on Monday with a chance of afternoon snow flurries.  The afternoon high will only be around 33 degrees.  That will be quite a shock after being in the 60's over the weekend.

Accumulating snow next week? It's possible!

To contact us Click HERE

 For the past several days we've been watching a potential storm system for early next week developing in the Plains and moving through central Illinois and into the Ohio River Valley.  The track with this storm has varied day to day, as it should since it's still over 130 hours away and it will take time for models to resolve, but it's something to pay attention to.  Cold air will settle in after Thanksgiving and remain at least through the beginning of next week.  As the cold air from the north collides with the moist air from the gulf it's possible that somewhere in the Midwest accumulating snow may fall.   The morning model runs have once again shifted the low further south for next Tuesday leaving any potential precipitation south of the Stateline.  The track will continue to shift back and forth until the storm moves onshore later this weekend.  We'll continue to track this potential storm system because climatologically we won't be that far off from when we would expect our first inch of snow.  Stay tuned!

Our First Taste Of Winter?

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It was bound to happen sooner or later, and if the latest model runs hold true, our first taste of winter weather could fall under the "sooner" category.

European Model - Tuesday Morning
A couple of model runs have a strong area of low pressure passing just to our south next Tuesday. The European model has been pretty reliable as of late and shows the center of low pressure just off to our southeast Tuesday morning.

GFS Model - Tuesday Midday
The GFS model shows a similar path. While the heaviest of the precip with this system would stay closer to the Gulf states, we could easily see some precip of our own.

GFS Model - Freezing Line for Tuesday Midday
Here's where things get interesting. The GFS has the freezing line for this system just off to our south. Everything north of that line has plenty of cold air aloft to support snow. What does that mean for us? In short, a couple inches of the white stuff. That's if the models don't change between now and next week... and that's a BIG if.

Some models show this system staying south. Here's the general rule as we head into next week. The further south the low moves, the less chance we have of seeing anything. The further north the system moves, the messier things could get for us. Stay tuned!

21 Kasım 2012 Çarşamba

Measuring Snow: A 'How to' Guide

To contact us Click HERE
Measuring snow can sometimes be a little challenging especially if it's coming down at a fast pace, melting on contact or blowing in the wind.  The Quad Cities National Weather Service posted some very useful information on how to correctly measure snow.

Click here to see how it's properly done.  After all, we had a our first 'flakes' of the season fly this morning with many more to fall in the months to come. 

Wind and Rain on Veteran's Day

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An intense low pressure storm system is spinning over Minnesota tonight.  A cold front drops southwest from the low across northwestern Iowa, eastern Nebraska across western Kansas.  There is a tight pressure gradient associated with the low so that southerly winds will blow tonight, and for a good part of the day on Sunday from 20 to 30 mph with gusts on Veteran's Day expected to reach around 40 mph.  With this strong southerly flow over night, temperatures will not drop much.  The lows will be in the middle to upper 50's across the Stateline.  The average low this time of year is 33 degrees.  There could be a couple of light rain showers overnight, but nothing much is expected.  The front will be moving eastward across Iowa on Sunday, and as it gets closer to the Stateline showers will develop.  Showers will be likely by noon time, and you can expect occasional rain during the afternoon.  There might even be some late season thunderstorms.  The temperature will top out in the low to middle 60's.  The average high this time of year is 51 degrees.  The cold front will probably move across the area by the supper hour.  The wind will switch to the west at 10-15 mph, and rain showers will continue through the evening. Much colder air will feed into our region by midnight, and there could be some rain mixed with wet snow before it ends well after midnight.  A steep drop in temperature will continue taking the overnight low to around 28 degrees.  It will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold on Monday with a chance of afternoon snow flurries.  The afternoon high will only be around 33 degrees.  That will be quite a shock after being in the 60's over the weekend.

Staying Safe This Thanksgiving (And Beyond)

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It doesn't look like the weather will play much of a role this Thanksgiving... locally, at least. But as we get ready to kick off the holidays, there are plenty of ways to stay safe when you're traveling. Here's a few things to consider if you're making any sort of road trip this holiday season.

1. Check The Roads: Knowing what the roads look like in relation to the weather will make you better prepared for your trip. You can check out Illinois road conditions here and Wisconsin road conditions here.

2. Keep Gas In The Tank: Having at least half a tank of gas comes in real handy if you get stranded for some reason. It's hard to stay warm in a car that isn't running.

3. Have An Emergency Kit: Once again, if you get stranded, you'll want a way to stay safe until help arrives. Find out what goes into a good kit and other safety tips here.

Have a happy (and safe) Thanksgiving!